Gulf crisis set to escalate

Gulf crisis set to escalate

The strategy of Saudi Arabia and the UAE can paint the two countries in a corner with Qatar’s support for Sheikh Tamim complicating the suggestions made by a prominent Saudi journalist with close ties to the government and a Saudi-based lobbyist in Washington who The brutal coup ‘2013 Egyptian state that led to President-General-President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, to power, could be repeated in Qatar in one form or another.

The tactics of Saudi Arabia and the UAE, as well as some of the claims including the suppression of support activists and Islamists, the closure of a Turkish military base in the Gulf state, which reduces relations with Iran and closure Of the media in Qatar, which includes the controversial Jazeera television network, could be a double-edged sword.

In a move that probably contributed to public opinion against them Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, citing baseless claims that the Gulf state supported the Houthi rebels, expelled from their enemies Saudi military coalition fighting insurgents In Yemen a day after six Qatari soldiers were wounded in defending the southern flank of the kingdom.

The two Gulf states have implicitly included Houthi rebels in Yemen calling on Qatar relations to break with activists and Islamists. While there is no doubt that Qatar was sometimes too much to nurture these relations, it is also clear that some of them have benefited from tacit Western and Saudi support.

For Huzis, Qatar has probably maintained clandestine contacts as they unite in the struggle against them Arabia, given Qatar’s repeated efforts for more than a decade to mediate between the rebels, the Yemeni government backed by the Saudis and the kingdom. Qatar has since 2004 negotiated several ceasefire in intermittent wars between the government and the Huzis to see them upset with the support of Saudi Arabia.

Former US diplomats on State Department cables during their service in Yemen and more recently in interviews suggested that Saudi Arabia’s obsession with Hizis is prior to the rebels’ close relationship with Iran since the invasion in 2015. Every case, the Arabian obsession Iranian hands.

In addition, a more detailed analysis of the requests from Saudi Arabia and the UAE creates the impression that, doubtless, in the case of the kingdom, the pot sometimes reproaches the kettle. Abd al-Wahhab Muhammad Abd al-Rahman al-Humayqani the only Yemen on the list of Arab-United Arabs suspected of terrorism associated with the requests of the two Gulf states, is a terrorist designated by the US Treasury. Bound for al Qaeda would have at least part-time in the Saudi capital.

The designation of the Treasury in 2013 did not prevent the Saudis to include Mr. Al-Humayqani in the government delegation with the support of the Arabs to peace talks stranded in 2015 or to serve as an advisor to Yemeni President Abd Mansur Hadi Rabbuh that is the Kingdom.

All this makes the hope of a negotiated solution to the Gulf crisis, but an illusion. Maintaining the status quo is not an option for Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The escalation of the crisis is a risk not only for the Gulf States, but also for the international community. However, eliminating the protagonists of the faceless loss front is a non-motor starter provided both sides of the absolute victory of the objective dividing at all costs.

Dr. James M. Dorsey is a senior student at the School of International Studies, co-director of the Fan Institute of Culture of the University of W├╝rzburg and the author of the turbulent Middle Eastern world football blog S. Rajaratnam, A book with the same title, comparative political transitions between Southeast Asia and the Middle East and North Africa, co-authored with Dr. Cruz-Teresita del Rosario’s next three books, Shifting Sands, Essays on Sport and Politics in the Middle East and North Africa, as well as the creation of Frankenstein: the export of Saudi ultra-conservatism and China and Middle East: Venturing into the Maelstrom.

Leave a Reply